David Coursey at ZDNet AnchorDesk picks up on our IEEE Spectrum article about the coming spectrum explosion.
David’s job is to be cantankerous and pick fights. So I’m not offended by his comment that “My
immediate reaction to [the article] is, ‘Keep dreaming.'” He
acknowledges that we make a convincing case; he’s just skeptical the
spectrum-rich future we paint will arrive quickly or without
I’m not sure where exactly we disagree. The IEEE Spectrum article
isn’t a lyrical vision of infinite bandwidth; it’s a point-by-point
account of where the new capacity will come from, and why we’re
confident it’s coming. Even if you don’t believe the more exotic
technologies we discuss, such as ultra-wideband, will have any
significant effect, there is still a huge amount of spectrum coming on
the market from simple FCC reallocations.
The kick from the unlicensed technologies will indeed take some time to
manifest itself fully. But that’s like dismissing the Web in 1994
or WiFi in 1999. If we know that the wireless world is going to
be transformed, we shouldn’t dismiss what’s happening because the
process will take a few years.
I’m gratified that most of the comments to Coursey’s column on the
ZDNet site defend our original article. It doesn’t help Coursey
that he throws in red herrings like the risk of cancer from cell phones
and the problems with spectrum auctions. Our basic argument, that
more new wireless capacity will soon be made available than over any
comparable period in history, remains unrefuted.